Futurology tends to make scholars queasy. They generally prefer to leave the forecast- ing trade to science-fiction scribblers, free- lance prognosticators, and other untenured sorts. Social scientists somberly agree that their work must have "predictive value," but actual predic- tions, apart from economists' exercises in number crunching, are few. It is unique, then, to find some- body from the scholarly world who not only has tried his hand at prediction but is in a position to act:...